By · 8 min read

Before writing next year’s internal communication plan, most teams reread last year’s trends deck. It is a useful hour, and usually an uncomfortable one, because the deck predicted six things and the team can only point to one or two that changed anything it did. That is not a failure of the deck. Trend lists describe a direction of travel; they are not instructions. What makes them worth keeping is a test applied afterwards. Here are the 2025 predictions scored against the only test that matters to a practitioner: did it change what you do, and can you see it in your own tenant?

The test

A trend earns its place in your plan if two things are true. It changed a decision, meaning you did something differently because of it. And it left a trace you can find in your own data, meaning you can tell whether it is happening in your organisation rather than in the industry generally. A trend that fails both is commentary. A trend that passes the first but fails the second is the dangerous kind: you will spend budget on it and be unable to say whether it worked.

That second condition is stricter than it looks, and it is the reason several 2025 predictions have aged badly. Gallagher’s State of the Sector research keeps finding measurement to be the capability internal communicators name first when asked what they lack[1], which means most teams adopted the trends without any way of confirming them.

What held

Leadership visibility: held, and measurable

The prediction was that leadership presence would matter more, and it did. What made it stick is that it is one of the few trends with an unambiguous trace: leadership posts exist, they have reach, and in Viva Engage they have reply rates[2]. A team can show whether a country director’s posts reach that country’s population and whether people answer. Very few 2025 trends offered that.

The manager as a channel: held, and still barely measured

The claim was that line managers are the channel that decides whether a message lands, and it is right. It is also the hardest thing on this list to see in a tenant, because the cascade happens in team meetings and one-to-ones that leave no digital trace. Teams that made progress here did it indirectly, by measuring whether managers themselves consumed the briefing pack, and by looking at reach differences between populations with different manager coverage. That is an approximation and should be labelled as one.

Change fatigue: held, and worth measuring properly

This one turned out to be more durable than most. Deloitte’s human capital research has repeatedly described the strain of continuous organisational change on the workforce[3], and internal communication teams see its signature in their own data: declining engagement on change-related content while overall traffic holds, and sharp drops in specific populations that have absorbed several reorganisations. Our piece on measuring internal communications during restructuring covers what to watch.

AI in internal communication: held, but not where predicted

The 2025 lists predicted AI would change how communication is produced and how it is measured. The first half held. Drafting, translation and summarisation are now routine in most teams. The second half did not. AI did not close the measurement gap, because the missing piece was never language processing. It was the join between product activity and workforce structure, which is a data problem. Our assessment of Microsoft Copilot for internal communications measurement is specific about where it helps.

What quietly did not hold

Channel proliferation as a reach strategy

The prediction was that adding mobile apps, digital signage and short-form video would extend reach to populations that email and intranet miss. Adding surfaces expanded where a message could appear. It did not reliably expand who chose to read it, and in several organisations it thinned the effort so that each surface got less care. The organisations that did extend reach to frontline populations did it by fixing account provisioning and shift-pattern timing, which appeared on nobody’s trend list. Our piece on measuring frontline worker communications covers what actually moves that number.

The annual engagement survey as the outcome measure

Several 2025 lists positioned engagement survey scores as the place internal communication should demonstrate its value. Two years of practice suggests that is a poor fit. The survey runs once or twice a year, is influenced by pay, management and job design far more than by communication, and cannot be attributed to a specific campaign. It remains valuable as context and is a weak instrument for proving communication effectiveness. Our comparison of engagement surveys against communications data sets out how to use both.

2025 trend What was claimed What happened Where you can see it in your data
Leadership visibility Leaders become a primary channel Held Reach and reply rate on leadership posts, by population
Manager as channel Managers decide whether messages land Held, poorly measured Manager pack consumption, reach gaps by manager coverage
Change fatigue Audiences saturated by constant change Held Falling engagement on change content while traffic holds
AI in internal communication Transforms production and measurement Half held Production time, not measurement quality
Channel proliferation More surfaces means more reach Did not hold Reach flat despite more channels
Engagement survey as outcome Survey score proves IC value Did not hold No attributable link to campaigns
Wellbeing content Becomes a core IC responsibility Held as topic, unclear as outcome Content volume up, effect not isolatable

What to do with this year’s trend deck

Take the list, whatever it says, and put two columns next to it. The first: what decision would change if this were true in our organisation. The second: what would we look at to find out. Anything that leaves the second column empty goes in the appendix, not the plan.

The trends that pass will almost always need the same underlying capability, which is why it is worth building once. You need reach expressed against a defined population, the same campaign measured across every surface it ran on, segmentation by function, country and site, and history that survives the next product transition. With those four in place, most trend claims become testable in your own tenant within a quarter. Without them, next year’s deck will produce the same uncomfortable hour. Our companion article on what actually changed in internal communication measurement works through how that practice shifted, and the 2026 internal communications benchmarks give reference ranges to orient against.

The honest position on tooling

Native Microsoft 365 reporting is free, already on, and sufficient when the question concerns one team and one surface. A site owner checking traffic after a redesign, or a community manager watching a single Viva Engage community, needs nothing more, and buying a tool for that is waste.

The four capabilities above are a different matter, and native reporting does not provide them for structural reasons: it is per-surface, it holds no organisational attributes, and it retains a finite window. Building the gap yourself in Power BI against the Microsoft Graph reporting API is possible and some organisations run it well. Know three things first: the reporting API is not consistently reliable and produces days with missing data; customers have observed KPI values in Power BI that do not reconcile with the native SharePoint reports for the same period; and a dependable build needs a robust ingestion process with scheduled reconciliation and a named owner. Budget for the pipeline rather than the dashboard, as our piece on SharePoint analytics in Power BI explains.

Tryane provides that layer as a product: SharePoint, Viva Engage, Teams and newsletter platforms read together, joined to organisational structure through Entra ID or an HR file, with unlimited history across product transitions. SOC 2 Type 2 certified, GDPR compliant by design, EU hosting by default with US data residency on request, single sign-on through Azure AD or Entra ID, no agent to install, deployment in a couple of hours.

Frequently asked questions

Are trend reports worth reading at all?

Yes, for orientation and for the language they give you with an executive audience. They are poor as plans, because they describe an industry average that may not resemble your organisation. Read them, then apply the two-column test before anything enters your plan.

How do we measure the manager cascade without surveying everyone?

Indirectly, and label it as indirect. Look at whether managers opened and used the briefing material, and compare reach and engagement between populations with strong and weak manager coverage. It is a proxy, not proof, and presenting it as proof is how internal communication teams lose credibility with a sceptical audience.

Did AI change internal communication measurement at all?

At the margins. Summarising open-text feedback and clustering themes across comments is genuinely faster than it was. The core measurement problem, joining channel activity to workforce structure, is a data engineering question and was not affected. Treat AI claims about measurement with the scepticism you would apply to any vendor claim about a hard problem.

Should we drop channels that are not producing reach?

Usually yes, but check the segmentation before deciding. A channel with poor overall numbers may be the only one reaching a specific population, and killing it removes your only route to them. That decision needs reach by segment, not aggregate reach, which is the difference between a defensible call and an expensive mistake.

What is the single highest-value change for a team starting from a channel report?

Define the target population for each campaign type and report reach against it. It is one change, it usually makes the first month’s numbers look worse, and it changes the conversation with executives more than anything else on this list.

Sources

Gallagher, State of the Sector

Microsoft Learn, Viva Engage overview

Deloitte, Human Capital Trends

Gallup, State of the Global Workplace

Further reading

What actually changed in internal communication measurement

Internal communications benchmarks for 2026

Engagement surveys against communications data

Measuring frontline worker communications

Building an internal communications measurement strategy

Tryane runs a 15-minute working session with Heads of Internal Communication, taking one claim from your current trend deck and showing whether it is visible in your own tenant. Book a slot with Jérémy to schedule yours.